Explaining the Emergence of Land-Use Frontiers

Patrick Meyfroidt, Dilini Abeygunawardane, Matthias Baumann, Adia Bey, Ana Buchadas, Cristina Chiarella, Victoria Junquera, Angela Kronenburg García1, Tobias Kuemmerle, Yann le Polain de Waroux, Eduardo Oliveira, Michelle Picoli, Siyu Qin, Virginia Rodriguez García, and Philippe Rufin

2024

Land-use expansion is linked to major sustainability concerns including climate change, food security and biodiversity loss. This expansion is largely concentrated in so-called ‘frontiers’, defined here as places experiencing marked transformations owing to rapid resource exploitation. Understanding the mechanisms shaping these frontiers is crucial for sustainability. Previous work focused mainly on explaining how active frontiers advance, in particular, into tropical forests. Comparatively, our understanding of how frontiers emerge in territories considered marginal in terms of agricultural productivity and global market integration remains weak. We synthesize conceptual tools explaining resource and land-use frontiers, including theories of land rent and agglomeration economies, of frontiers as successive waves, spaces of territorialization, friction and opportunities, anticipation and expectation. We then propose a new theory of frontier emergence, which identifies exogenous pushes, legacies of past waves and actors’ anticipations as key mechanisms by which frontiers emerge. Processes of differential rent creation and capture and the built-up of agglomeration economies then constitute key mechanisms sustaining active frontiers. Finally, we discuss five implications for the governance of frontiers for sustainability. Our theory focuses on agriculture and deforestation frontiers in the tropics but can be inspirational for other frontier processes including for extractive resources, such as minerals.

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Assessment of Drivers of Deforestation and Forest Degradation in West Africa

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